Bitcoin history repeating? 3 indicators suggest October will reignite the BTC bull market


Bitcoin (BTC) failed to interrupt the so-called September curse, with its worth falling by a bit of over 7% into the month regardless of a robust rebound rally proper forward of its shut. Nonetheless, Bitcoin looks to be making a comeback in October, a month identified for portray aggressive bullish reversals.

Bybt information reveals that Bitcoin has closed October in revenue nearly all of the time since 2013 — with successful price of over 77%. Final yr, the cryptocurrency surged by 28% to succeed in ranges above $13,500 after ending September at round $10,800, following an approximate 7.5% decline.

Bitcoin month-to-month returns since 2013. Supply: Bybt

Equally, Bitcoin climbed greater by over 10% by the top of October 2019 regardless of plunging by round 14% the earlier month. That made September look like a sell-off month for merchants, with its document of logging losses seven out of 9 instances since 2013.

In distinction, October posed itself as a interval of dip-buying, suggesting that merchants could find yourself pumping Bitcoin’s worth greater by Oct. 31.

The October fractal surfaces regardless of alarming alerts within the type of China’s intensifying crackdown and the United States’ tougher regulatory stance on the crypto sector.

Moreover, the prospects of the Federal Reserve limiting its $120-billion-a-month bond-purchasing program later this yr seem to have been limiting Bitcoin’s upside outlook. The free financial coverage, mixed with the U.S. central financial institution’s near-zero rates of interest, was instrumental in pumping Bitcoin’s worth from under $4,000 in March 2020 to almost $65,000 by April 2021.

However regardless of the short-term setbacks, a flurry of key indicators reveal that traders nonetheless need publicity within the booming cryptocurrency house.

Institutional inflows

Crypto information monitoring service CryptoCompare noted in its report that volumes related to digital asset funding merchandise rose 9.6% in September. In the meantime, the weekly product inflows rose to $69.7 million, the best since Might 2021.

“Bitcoin-based merchandise noticed the best stage of inflows out of any asset, averaging $31.2 million per week,” CryptoCompare wrote, including that “There could possibly be upside going into the final quarter of 2021.”

Common weekly internet influx by asset for the month of September. Supply: CryptoCompare

The 20-week EMA fractal

Technical indicators additionally pointed to a bullish session forward for Bitcoin because it shaped a base around $40,000 earlier than the September shut and reclaimed key resistance ranges as interim assist. That included the bias-defining 21-week exponential shifting common (21-week EMA).

As Cointelegraph covered earlier, a drop below the 21-week EMA increased Bitcoin’s probability to continue falling by 78%. On Sept. 27, the cryptocurrency fell below the green wave (as shown in the chart below) but reclaimed it as support while entering the October session.

BTC/USD weekly price chart featuring 20-week EMA-focused bull runs. Source: TradingView

A move above the 20-week EMA, accompanied by rising volumes, has historically led to explosive Bitcoin bull runs. As a result, if the fractal repeats, BTC price may head toward a new record high in the weeks ahead.

Bull pennant breakout

One other technical indicator that has been predicting a bullish final result for Bitcoin is the bull pennant.

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Intimately, BTC’s worth has been consolidating inside two converging trendlines following its 500-plus p.c rally.

Conventional analysts view these lateral strikes as an indication of bullish continuation. In doing so, they anticipate that the worth will break above the sample’s higher trendline — and rise by as a lot because the size of the earlier uptrend, known as the flagpole.

Bitcoin weekly worth chart that includes bull pennant construction. Supply: TradingView

In consequence, Bitcoin’s path of least resistance seems to be to the upside, with a possible breakout transfer seeking to ship its costs towards $100,000 (the flagpole’s peak is roughly $50,000).

The views and opinions expressed listed below are solely these of the creator and don’t essentially mirror the views of Cointelegraph. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes danger, and it’s best to conduct your personal analysis when making a call.