Bitcoin hodling rate reaches 9-month high, boosting hopes of ‘bull flag’ rally to $70K


A yearlong value rally within the Bitcoin (BTC) market and hopes for extra upside strikes sooner or later has prompted merchants to carry the token as an alternative of buying and selling it for different property, Glassnode information reveals.

The blockchain information analytics service revealed on Oct. 28 that the whole quantity of “hodled or misplaced cash” reached a nine-month excessive of over 7.21 million BTC. In easy phrases, the Bitcoin metric mirrored a rise in out-of-circulation tokens — people who could have been saved in chilly wallets by long-term holders or misplaced as a result of human errors, with little likelihood of restoration.

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BTC quantity of HODLed or Misplaced Cash. Supply: Glassnode

In consequence, the whole variety of misplaced/hodled Bitcoin exceeded 34% of its complete provide of 21 million tokens, making the cryptocurrency extra scarce. 

Extra proof of a Bitcoin provide shock

Additional information supplied by CryptoQuant confirmed that the quantity of Bitcoin reserves held throughout all of the crypto exchanges dropped to its lowest degree since August 2018 — at 2.337 million BTC on Oct. 28, 2021.

In the meantime, the Miners Place Index (MPI), which measures the ratio of BTC leaving all miners’ wallets to its 1-year shifting common, has been buying and selling beneath zero since March 6, 2021, suggesting strong accumulation among miners.

Bitcoin all change reserves and miners’ place index. Supply: CryptoQuant

“The quantity of Bitcoins [owned by miners] is on comparable ranges that … in Might when the value was below $40k,” noted a CryptoQuant analyst as BTC tried to rebound after falling beneath $60,000 on Oct. 26, including: 

“You may see simply how early we’re nonetheless earlier than the ultimate bulls run.”

What BTC value technicals say

Bitcoin’s value correction from around $67,000 to $58,100 appeared after October’s 60% rally. Nonetheless, BTC/USD fashioned a parallel descending channel vary (purple), elevating potentialities that the construction is a Bull Flag.

BTC/USD each day value chart that includes Bull Flag setup. Supply: TradingView

Bulls Flags are bullish continuation patterns that ship the value within the path of their earlier development following a consolidation interval to the draw back. In doing so, the technical indicator eyes their upside targets at size equal to the scale of the earlier uptrend, also called Flagpole, as soon as the value breaks above the Flag’s higher trendline with increased volumes.

Associated: Is Bitcoin price mimicking the 2017 bull run? Find out on The Market Report with ETF expert Eric Balchunas

The Bitcoin flagpole is roughly $15,000 lengthy. Which means the cryptocurrency may technically rise by as a lot as $15,000 from the purpose of the breakout. The Fibonacci ranges within the chart above may match as flooring to assist rebound in direction of or above $70,000.

Nonetheless, not all merchants are satisfied the present setup is bullish within the quick time period.

“Some would say it is a bull flag, and that is potential. However the quantity traits level to a transfer decrease from right here, almost definitely, IMO,” commented pseudonymous crypto dealer Alex. 

Fellow dealer Pentoshi added {that a} break beneath the current lows of $58,000 can be unhealthy information for the bulls. He said:

“BTC off 58k to the greenback What if it is a huge bull flag, and that we’re in a bull market the place bull flags break up? Now in concept value should not return to these lows or Bitcoin is in bother 64k right down to 29k 29k again up w/ solely 2 misses on the macro throughout that point.”

The views and opinions expressed listed here are solely these of the writer and don’t essentially replicate the views of Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails threat, you need to conduct your individual analysis when making a call.